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The San Antonio Spurs play host to the underdog Portland Trail Blazers in the Western Conference playoffs, and we’re looking at NBA player prop projections ahead of tonight’s Game 1 clash.
Our computer projections combined with Douglas Farmer’s Trail Blazers vs. Spurs predictions will help round out your NBA picks on Sunday, April 19.
Trail Blazers vs Spurs computer picks for Game 1
 Trail Blazers |
 Spurs |
|---|---|
| Henderson o9.5 points +100 |
Harper o8.5 points -110 |
| Avdija u6.5 assists -105 |
Vassell o12.5 points +100 |
| Holiday o14.5 points -112 |
Fox o17.5 points -105 |
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Trail Blazers Game 1 computer picks
Scoot Henderson Over 9.5 points (+100)
Projection: 11.39 points
The player prop projected to offer the most EV (23.3%) on the slate is Scoot Henderson to go Over 9.5 points at even money.
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (best in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a positive matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the second-best offensive rebounding team in the league (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
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Deni Avdija Under 6.5 assists (-105)
Projection: 5.48 assists
The Blazers have the sixth-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last five games, and Deni Avdija has only dished out seven-plus assists five times in his last 10.
One of those recent Unders came against the Spurs.
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Jrue Holiday Over 14.5 points (-112)
Projection: 17.45 points
The computer is projecting Jrue Holiday to clear his scoring prop by nearly a full three points, and it expects him to have a strong matchup from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Spurs is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposing team’s starting SGs have posted the eighth-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.5%).
If you like the risk, Over 2.5 made threes is available at +115, but the computer is only projecting 2.74.
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Spurs Game 1 computer picks
Dylan Harper Over 8.5 points (-110)
Projection: 10.55 points
Dylan Harper has scored at least nine points in 12 straight games and in 16 of his last 17.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional scoring opportunities, and the Spurs rank sixth-best in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
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Devin Vassell Over 12.5 points (+100)
Projection: 13.30 points
Devin Vassell has averaged 13.9 points per game this season and has cleared this line in four of his last six games.
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De’Aaron Fox Over 17.5 points (-105)
Projection: 18.60 points
De’Aaron Fox has averaged 22.5 points per game over the last eight home games, 3.6 points higher than his full-season average at home.
He’s also cleared this prop in three straight and in four of six.
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How to watch Trail Blazers vs Spurs Game 1
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Sunday, April 19, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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