Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3 predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for May 9

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Preview

On Friday, May 9, the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) and Denver Nuggets (50-32) will square off at Ball Arena in Denver.

After getting upset in game one, the Oklahoma City Thunder responded in a big way. They won game two by 43 points. The Thunder shot 56.2% from the field and 44.4% from three. They forced 20 turnovers in the game as well.

The Thunder are currently 32-8 on the road with a point differential of 13, while the Nuggets have a 4-6 record in their last ten games at home.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Thunder vs. Nuggets live today

  • Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
  • Time: 10:00PM EST
  • Site: Ball Arena
  • City: Denver, CO
  • Network/Streaming: ESPN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.

Game odds for Thunder vs. Nuggets

The latest odds as of Friday:

  • Odds: Thunder (-210), Nuggets (+174)
  • Spread:  Thunder -4.5
  • Over/Under: 233 points

That gives the Thunder an implied team point total of 118.02, and the Nuggets 115.68.

Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports’ Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!

Expert picks & predictions for Friday’s Thunder vs. Nuggets game

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Thunder & Nuggets game:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Oklahoma City Thunder on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Denver Nuggets at +4.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 233.

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!

Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Thunder vs. Nuggets on Friday

  • The Thunder have won 5 straight road games
  • The Nuggets’ last 3 matchups against Western Conference Northwest Division teams have gone over the Total
  • The Nuggets have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog
  • The Nuggets have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

– Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)

– Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)

Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

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